I've criticised First Past the Post for all the safe seats it creates - several hundred. The MP is, in reality, decided by local Conservative and Labour parties (and, in a very small number of cases, by the local Lib Dems). The voters are incidental.
To illustrate the power of safe seats, remember Neil Hamilton in Tatton. Such was the safety of the seat that, even with the sitting MP found guilty of corruption, we needed an independent candidate with Labour and Lib Dem support to unseat him.
(It's worth noting, too, that although Tatton was once again safe for the Tories in 2001, fewer people voted for Osborne than voted against him in that year - you can have a safe seat even if the majority oppose you).
I've also attacked the list system, as used in the European elections, that allows parties to install candidates at the top of the list with a similar certainty. The European vote in the North East would have required a catacylsm to avoid electing the three candidates the main parties had chosen to top their lists. Again, voting was a formality.
In the back of my mind there's always been an "ah but", and it was brought to the fore by a very interesting post from fellow Lib Dem blogger Charlotte Gore.
Charlotte, who sits on the libertarian wing of the Lib Dems, doesn't think she could win a seat where she wasn't already a shoe-in.
"any campaign run by me could be derailed very quickly by finding a few choice quotes. Charlotte Gore wants to axe the welfare state! Charlotte Gore wants to cut spending! Charlotte Gore is pro Business and anti Union! Charlotte Gore wants to legalise drugs! Charlotte Gore thinks the BNP should be allowed on television! That’s just the start of it. There’s enough in this blog to kill any political career one hundred times over."There is, of course, the point about making our lives open on the Internet. Unless, like me, you take the coward's option and remain anonymous, you're just bound to give opponents ammunition. Sensible, safe candidates (and there are several who blog) will tone things down a bit and hope that the benefit outweighs the cost.
"In another world, weirdos like me would get plonked into a safe seat somewhere and told to keep my gob shut for the duration. That’s how democracy works."
Charlotte, who throws caution to the wind and tells us what she really thinks, has a similar problem to those people caught out on Facebook. We aren't used to knowing the intimate details of others' personal lives, whether it's Charlotte's opinions shared with the world or Prince Harry's "paki" moment.
It isn't that other people don't have interesting opinions or make stupid mistakes. It's that we don't know about them and discovering the gory details comes as a bit of a shock, even if there's really nothing very shocking at all.
But there's another, wider, issue - democracy itself.
I'm of the firm belief that the benefits of strong democracy - including getting rid of safe seats - outweigh the downsides. But that doesn't mean we should ignore those problems and pretend they don't exist.
One downside is that it encourages safe and homogenous candidates. If you are trying win a seat; if you need a dedicated team of volunteers to support your campaign; if you need people to donate thousands of pounds to support you; if you can't afford to piss off big chunks of your constituency - then there is a benefit to playing it safe.
There are exceptions. Through force of personality, some candidates can carry off the oddball thing. Recall, though, that even Obama - hardly a shrinking violet - had to play it safe and appeal to the widest constituency to win his election. For most of us, safe and mainstream is the way to success if we have to win the voters over.
So let's take away two lessons.
First, democracy is the best system but it isn't perfect. There are people who think that the democratic decision must be the right or the best decision. No. Democracy is a safeguard. Giving the people the ability to kick out, or vote in, politicians has proven in many countries over many decades to be an impressively strong and successful way of running things. It's better than the alternatives, but it doesn't always get it right.
Second, whatever reforms you make to the system, however wonderful your democracy becomes; even, dare I say it, if Clegg's Take Back Power campaign was fully implemented, there would still be very able people who for all sorts of reasons would never win an election. A sensible democratic system allows the nation to harness the abilities of these people.
We're often keen to attack the unelected political advisors and quangocracy. Sometimes with justification. But both have positive elements, and we would be very foolish indeed to say that only those who have won the electoral popularity contest should hold any sort of power in our nation at all.



11 comments:
One downside is that it encourages safe and homogenous candidates.
Of course, if there was proportional representation, in multi-member constituencies (at least if they elect a large enough number of representatives) there would also be space for differing opinions. For instance, in a constituency which elects 20 representatives, it would be enough that 5% (and probably less) of the voters would agree with you, and you could get elected. That's the idea of proportional representation; also minority views could get represenation.
Costigan - this is a brilliant analysis of our rotten system and how it works against passionate and radical voices like Charlotte's.
As you probably saw from the comments on her thread, I am also very sad to see her feeling that she will never be able to run for parliament and I hope she changes her mind but you are right about how the cards are stacked against people like that.
I am going to include this post in the list of classic blog posts that I am passing on to Martin Bright of The Spectator in order to prove his assertion from the #eiblogger event on Monday wrong.
You will now appear at least twice on that list.
Mark - you are a sweetie; I don't deserve it.
Bloody hell, Mr Quist, you seem to have found the blogging equivalent of the fount of eternal youth. Another brilliant post from the electronic pen of one of the most pertinent and provocative bloggers we have.
If you don't have at least 3 postings in the Golden Dozen this week, I will be very surprised.
Now, let's see your posting on the Scottish and English sportspeople:-)
I wonder if Charlotte might benefit from studying Boris Johnson. Yes, I meant that seriously. He gets away with saying the most outrageous things because of the way he says them, and the way he reacts to other people's criticisms. That is the primary reason why he has done so well in politics. Reagan also (shame it's only right wingers I can think of) had that breezy manner that enabled him to get away with saying they should bomb Vietnam and turn it into a parking lot.
I've seen far too many internet outings to place much store by anonymous blogging. You are only anonymous until someone gets sufficiently motivated to find out who you are. The best advice for people in public life is never, ever write down anything that you wouldn't be happy to see attributed to you on the front page of the local newspaper.
My experience with making political comments in a non-anonymous way is that people have a far better memory for the things you say that they disagree with than for the things you say that they agree with. So, yes, the result is that it's best to stick to the bland and anodyne. Or to adopt a position whereby you shout out about one aspect of your politics which it is easy to get people to agree with, while hiding the necessary corollary which people wouldn't like. That was my criticism of Charlotte. It is also part of why people are fed up with politicians - if politicians only give the one side that sounds good and bot the balancing bad, it's not surprising people accuse them of being liars. But they're not really lying - just being economical with the truth.
I would hope that something like STV would enable the election of people who have strong opinions which are of minority taste. Charlotte may not be able to get enough support to win FPTP or AV, but she could surely gather a quota of like-minded supporters across a wider area than a single-member constituency.
"I wonder if Charlotte might benefit from studying Boris Johnson."
But Boris became the very caricature of the homogenous, anodyne candidate in the London Mayoral Elections. He spent the first half of the campaign denouncing everything he had ever said up to that point and the second half of the campaign claiming to agree with everything Ken Livingstone has ever said.
Good post (and I'm not easily given to praise).
Democracy needs diversity to weed out simple inconsistency from sheer variability, so it is obvious that the democratic deficit stems directly (if only partially) from democracy's weak structure (in particular the electoral system).
There's a big difference between a sustainable debating position which wins support and a sustainable policy position which takes all factors and sides into account, so if Charlotte's analysis of Halifax voters is correct I agree with her that she probably isn't the right person to represent them. But does that mean she wouldn't make a good MP or couldn't get elected by by completely open elsewhere, I'd hope not!
Charlotte Gore wants to axe the welfare state! Charlotte Gore wants to cut spending! Charlotte Gore is pro Business and anti Union! Charlotte Gore wants to legalise drugs! Charlotte Gore thinks the BNP should be allowed on television!
These ARE typically Charlotte's views and as someone leaving the Lib Dems I would, if standing in opposition to her, use them at every opportunity to illustrate (from my view) what a right wing libertarian fruitcake the Lib Dems were fielding !! With her having little sympathy for generally held positions / ethos of the party, standing for the Libertarian Party UK might be the more honest political banner for her to stand for election under !
Before anyone gets too precious, I sense this is what the Lib Dems are doing to Rupert Read the Green candidate in the Norwich North by-election. Old, injudicious from years ago being dragged up again.
STV is essential, to enable one to choose between candidates of the same party and none. Sure I'd vote for Adrian Sanders as a Lib Dem, but never for that party's libertarian element. Same with other parties, someone like John McDonnell would be embraced by some Labour supporters, in a way that Jsck Straw wouldn't, and vice-versa. The same can be said for every other major party as their all fairly broad coalitions of views.
STV would give real voter choice and power. Anything else would be a sell-out!
Have a look at this - a top Scottish blogger, who was in the frame to be the SNP candidate in the Glasgow NE by-election has deleted his blog suddenly for fear that it would be used against him. He has also dropped out of the race to be the candidate which leaves the Nats in a bit of lumber.
http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/26/tartan-hero-grant-thoms-on-deleting-your-blog/
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